The Work State · Data & decision tools

Career Comparison Lab

Compare the pay distribution, size and projected openings of two US occupations. Then price a transition using your own confirmed figures, keeping national statistics separate from an actual offer.

Published October 23, 2026 · The Work State Editorial · May 2025 wages and 2025–2035 projections

This lab covers 51 detailed occupations already discussed in our guides. It is a curated subset, not a ranking of the whole US market. SOC codes identify the national occupations; a commercial job title can have a different scope.

1. Compare two national occupations

These are reference populations, not offers. Select a role by its full occupational title and SOC code.

Electricians have about 17.3 times the projected annual openings of solar photovoltaic installers. This is a comparison of occupations, not a hiring probability.

National wages: May 2025. Employment projections: 2025–2035.
MeasureSolar photovoltaic installersElectricians
10th-percentile annual wage$41,600$42,640
25th-percentile annual wage$46,700$49,430
Median annual wage$53,140$63,190
75th-percentile annual wage$62,870$83,940
90th-percentile annual wage$79,970$108,510
Employment, 202531,100821,000
Projected employment, 203542,400896,900
Net employment change, 2025–203511,30075,900
Employment change, 2025–203536.5%9.2%
Projected annual openings4,20072,700
Typical entry educationHigh school diploma or equivalentHigh school diploma or equivalent
Typical related work experienceNoneNone
Typical on-the-job trainingModerate-term on-the-job trainingApprenticeship

The middle half of wages falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. Those percentiles do not identify experience levels. Openings include replacement and are not live vacancies.

Download this comparison (CSV)

Read the electrical-trades comparison

2. Price the transition separately

A gap between occupational medians is not an expected pay rise. Enter a stated scenario using training costs, lost earnings and an assumed annual net improvement. These figures are never filled from the national wage table.

Fictional starting example: $4,000 ÷ $3,000 × 12 = 16.0 months to recover the stated costs.

Model: recovery months = 12 × (one-time costs + net earnings forgone) ÷ assumed annual net improvement. It assumes improvement begins immediately after the transition and stays constant. It ignores discounting, financing interest, uncertainty, taxes not already reflected in your net inputs, and the probability or timing of an offer. With no positive improvement there is no finite recovery of a positive cost in this model. This is scenario arithmetic, not a forecast or training recommendation.

View the 51-occupation data without the interactive controls
Curated coverage, not a whole-market ranking
Occupation (SOC)Median annual wage, May 2025Change 2025–2035Annual openings
Accountants and auditors (13-2011)$83,6805.0%115,300
Captains, mates, and pilots of water vessels (53-5021)$92,4604.0%3,800
Claims adjusters, examiners, and investigators (13-1031)$78,000-5.5%20,900
Coaches and scouts (27-2022)$47,3206.1%36,400
Compensation, benefits, and job analysis specialists (13-1141)$78,2106.0%9,000
Computer user support specialists (15-1232)$61,860-3.5%39,700
Data entry keyers (43-9021)$41,340-25.5%7,700
Data scientists (15-2051)$120,23034.6%24,800
Education and childcare administrators, preschool and daycare (11-9031)$59,300-3.1%5,200
Electricians (47-2111)$63,1909.2%72,700
Epidemiologists (19-1041)$87,22018.7%800
Executive secretaries and executive administrative assistants (43-6011)$76,5900.0%43,300
Financial and investment analysts (13-2051)$102,7407.2%24,700
First-line supervisors of retail sales workers (41-1011)$48,520-3.7%113,500
Graphic designers (27-1024)$62,960-1.7%16,000
Healthcare social workers (21-1022)$67,8808.5%16,900
Heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers (49-9021)$61,01010.9%40,600
Human resources managers (11-3121)$149,2805.5%16,800
Human resources specialists (13-1071)$75,9406.4%73,700
Information security analysts (15-1212)$129,18021.0%14,100
Instructional coordinators (25-9031)$77,4401.6%23,100
Interpreters and translators (27-3091)$60,1702.0%6,000
Legal secretaries and administrative assistants (43-6012)$55,570-5.2%18,100
Logisticians (13-1081)$82,32017.6%26,600
Market research analysts and marketing specialists (13-1161)$78,7607.0%82,000
Marketing managers (11-2021)$166,7906.9%34,000
Medical and health services managers (11-9111)$123,86024.2%62,300
Medical secretaries and administrative assistants (43-6013)$45,9304.8%89,200
Network and computer systems administrators (15-1244)$99,130-4.1%13,400
Nurse practitioners (29-1171)$132,30041.0%29,400
Occupational therapists (29-1122)$100,33014.8%10,000
Painters, construction and maintenance (47-2141)$49,4003.0%24,900
Paralegals and legal assistants (23-2011)$62,890-0.3%40,800
Payroll and timekeeping clerks (43-3051)$58,260-15.9%11,400
Plumbers, pipefitters, and steamfitters (47-2152)$63,8006.8%42,000
Power plant operators (51-8013)$102,040-5.1%2,300
Public relations managers (11-2032)$146,9105.7%6,100
Public relations specialists (27-3031)$74,7501.8%23,000
Registered nurses (29-1141)$97,5505.6%180,800
Respiratory therapists (29-1126)$82,2808.5%8,600
Sales managers (11-2022)$148,2704.5%47,300
Secretaries and administrative assistants, except legal, medical, and executive (43-6014)$47,540-6.0%163,900
Software developers (15-1252)$135,98010.2%95,300
Solar photovoltaic installers (47-2231)$53,14036.5%4,200
Speech-language pathologists (29-1127)$97,87016.6%12,500
Substance abuse, behavioral disorder, and mental health counselors (21-1018)$59,35018.4%50,500
Teaching assistants, except postsecondary (25-9045)$36,780-0.3%176,200
Training and development specialists (13-1151)$69,28010.8%46,000
Transportation, storage, and distribution managers (11-3071)$107,2306.1%18,300
Web and digital interface designers (15-1255)$104,0006.0%8,300
Wind turbine service technicians (49-9081)$64,12029.5%1,500

What a growth ranking can hide

Solar photovoltaic installers are projected to grow 36.5%, compared with 9.2% for electricians. The order reverses when asking about the number of projected annual openings: 4,200 for solar installers and 72,700 for electricians. In this pair, electricians have about 17.3 times as many annual openings. The comparison is 72,700 ÷ 4,200; it is not a measure of an applicant’s hiring chances.

The starting populations differ: 31,100 solar installers versus 821,000 electricians. Their projected net changes are 11,300 and 75,900 over the decade. Growth percentage, net change and annual openings answer different questions. They should remain separate when discussing training, local opportunities or a career switch.

The occupations also have different typical training routes: the BLS table lists moderate-term on-the-job training for solar installers and an apprenticeship for electricians. These are national classifications, not confirmation that a course qualifies you for a license or a particular employer.

Rounded growth can hide a small decline

For executive secretaries and executive administrative assistants, the source table shows 0.0% growth after rounding, but a net change of −100 jobs. It also projects 43,300 annual openings. A rounded zero is not proof that the headcount is exactly unchanged, and a decline does not mean hiring ceases. Try this occupation alongside medical secretaries to see the distinct measures.

Use a question, not a “best career” score

If growth attracts you to an occupation, next check its starting size and openings. If a median wage attracts you, check the full distribution and what an actual offer pays. If a training program attracts you, verify eligibility, total cost and supervised practice requirements. This lab deliberately does not combine these different measures into a career recommendation.

Download the data and reproduce the comparison

Download all 51 occupations (CSV) · Download data and metadata (JSON)

Wage data come from the original BLS May 2025 national OEWS workbook. Projection rows come from BLS Table 1.2 for 2025–2035. We joined detailed occupations by their exact SOC code, retained all five wage percentiles, and converted projection employment and openings from thousands to people by multiplying by 1,000. Figures retain the source’s rounding; subtracting two rounded employment levels may differ slightly from the published net change.

The set includes occupations referenced in our reviewed guides that have both a matching wage row and a projection row in the source extract. One wage-only occupation in the reviewed set, roustabouts (47-5071), is omitted because a matching projection row was not available in that extract. This is a coverage limitation of our extract, not a claim that BLS publishes no projection for that occupation.

OEWS measures employee wage rates and excludes the self-employed. It is not total compensation: overtime premium pay, shift differentials and employer benefit costs are excluded, while some incentive pay is included. Annual wage rates do not establish the paid calendar in a particular offer. Projections have a different scope and include self-employment where applicable; their employment counts should not be subtracted from OEWS counts.

Percentiles do not represent starting pay, guaranteed career steps or maximum pay. The middle 50% lies between the 25th and 75th percentiles, but it is not a promised offer range. Annual openings are projected averages, including replacement needs, and are not a count of current advertisements. Typical education and training describe occupations, not universal employer requirements or legal eligibility.

Version 2026-10-23.1. The source data are for the reference periods above, not wages observed in October 2026. Our work is the selected dataset, calculations, comparison interface and interpretation. The national estimates are BLS data. The Work State is not affiliated with or endorsed by BLS. Research, drafting and computational checks used AI assistance; no individual professional credential is claimed.

CSV columns and units
  • p10, p25, median, p75, p90: annual employee wage percentiles in nominal US dollars, May 2025.
  • employment / employment_projected: projected-series headcounts in 2025 / 2035.
  • net_change: published numeric change over the full decade, people.
  • growth: published change over the full decade, percent; not annual growth.
  • openings: projected annual-average openings, people, including replacement.
  • education, experience, training: BLS typical entry or preparation categories.
  • code: exact SOC code; the rows are detailed occupations, not broad occupational groups.

CSV SHA-256: ceeb3f43f415862a8156468c798ff75f90f8c310325660918ad7f2730aa7acf6

Primary sources

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